MLS in Vegas: Week 28

Okay, after a month off, it’s time to play some catch up. Below is a look at the last two weeks of wagers for the series, weeks 22 and 23 of league play.

WEEK 22 REVIEW
LOSS
$100 on NYC = ($100)
LOSS
$50 on COLvLA draw = ($50)
LOSS
$50 on COL to win = ($50)
LOSS $200 on SKC to win = ($200)
Weekly Total = ($400)

Picture2WEEK 23 REVIEW
LOSS $200 on ORL to win = ($200)
HIT!
$300 on POR to win at -$150 = $200
Weekly Total = $0

NEW 2015 SEASON TOTALS
Picking Winners: 21/43
Picking Draws: 2/8
Total Earnings: ($659)

Now a different kind of catch up is in order. After getting the season deficit under $300 in early August, some irresponsible picking has me back at -$659 on the year. Have a look at some of the most intriguing lines here in week 28, there may be some value to be had.

NYRB v. Chicago – September 11th, 7:00 ET

Not sure how many members of the Red Bull roster are New York natives, or even American to begin with. But any time a New York sports club has a home contest on a day like 9/11, you have to think they’ll play inspired ball and have an amazing crowd behind them.

New York are also a superior club, with a far stronger central midfield and more options in front of goal. Even though Chicago took down NYRB by a score of 3-2 at Toyota Park last month, I still think NYRB crushes tonight, even if only to the tune of 2-0 or 3-1. They aren’t great value at -$200 to win, but nothing gets me randy like a Friday night wager!

Dallas v. NYCFC – September 12th, 8:30 ET

Dallas are playing well and on a two match winning streak. The club should also be boosted by the return of three of their top scorers (Perez, Castillo and Akindele). The Hoops are pretty devastating at home, so I like Dallas at -$145 to win quite a bit this weekend.

LA v. Montreal – September 12th, 10:30 ET

You’ll have to wager a pretty penny to make anything off LA at home this weekend. At -$240 to win, the Galaxy are massive favorites on Saturday night. But I’m a but surprised the bookies aren’t making the odds even steeper by putting LA in the -$300 to -$350 range. Montreal could score two or three goals in this one, but I’d be fairly shocked if they scored four or more, and I’m definitely willing to bet that LA can bag four against the Impact at the StubHub center.

Orlando v. SKC – September 13th, 7:00 ET

Both of these teams are in an awful run of form of late, but I think that has turned SKC into a solid value here. Vermes’ boys are at +$160 to win the match thanks to their four match winless streak, but I think they’re at least a notch or two above the expansion Lions. Orlando can play well at home, but their expansion roster has been devastated by injuries throughout the year and stalwart Kaka could even miss the match as he is currently listed day to day.

***Official Week 28 Picks***

  • $300 on NYRB to win at -200
  • $150 on DAL to win at -145
  • $450 on LA to win at -240
  • $100 on SKC to win at +160